April 8, 2004

Predictions, Part 8. Some picks from Baseball Prospectus:
                First    Second     Third      Fourth    Fifth

Steven Goldman Yankees Red Sox Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Gary Huckabay Yankees Blue Jays Red Sox Orioles D-Rays
Rany Jazayerli Red Sox Yankees Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Chris Kahrl Red Sox Yankees Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Jonah Keri Yankees Red Sox Orioles Blue Jays D-Rays
Doug Pappas Yankees Red Sox Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Dayn Perry Yankees Red Sox Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Joe Sheehan Red Sox Yankees Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Nate Silver Yankees Red Sox Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Ryan Wilkins Red Sox Yankees Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Mike Wolverton Yankees Red Sox Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Derek Zumsteg Red Sox Yankees Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays

World Series
Will Carroll Red Sox over Cubs
Steven Goldman Cubs over Yankees
Gary Huckabay Athletics over Phillies
Rany Jazayerli Red Sox over Astros
Chris Kahrl Red Sox over Cubs
Jonah Keri Athletics over Atlanta
Doug Pappas Astros over Athletics
Dayn Perry Yankees over Astros
Joe Sheehan Red Sox over Phillies
Nate Silver Red Sox over Phillies
Ryan Wilkins Red Sox over Phillies
Derek Zumsteg Athletics over Phillies
Joe Sheehan on the Red Sox: "Their current edges at the back of the rotation--where I expect Bronson Arroyo to be one the season's better stories--and on the bench make the difference. ... Overall, this team is actually better than last year's, with a stronger bullpen and bench, and a deeper rotation less reliant on Pedro Martinez. For the first time since they acquired the skinny right-hander, it's possible to envision a Sox postseason appearance even if Martinez were to miss significant time to an injury. The rest of the team is that good, good enough to be called the best in the American League."

BP's Michael Wolverton says the earned run -- "a lame and counterproductive attempt at solving the pitching/fielding conundrum" -- has got to go. And if the rule was being introduced for the first time today, we'd see right away how absurd it is.

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