August 13, 2005

RBI Opportunity

Yesterday afternoon, I wrote about Manny Ramirez:
I'd like to see Manny's RBI numbers re: actual RBI opportunities.
Today, I discover that Baseball Prospectus has a new stat called RBI Opportunity. Sweet.

Here are MLB's Top 15 with 300 plate appearances (with plate appearances, total number of runners on first, second, and third when batting, RBI (minus HR) and RBI generated per baserunner):
                 PA  R1  R2 R3 Total RBI RBI/Runner
1. VGuerrero 408 130 85 45 260 58 .2231
2. CEverett 355 118 71 42 231 50 .2165
3. MRamirez 451 171 110 69 350 75 .2143
4. GAnderson 457 147 102 50 299 61 .2040
5. JUribe 361 109 68 35 212 43 .2028
6. GSheffield 492 155 105 56 316 64 .2025
7. DLee 498 118 98 52 268 54 .2015
8. THafner 379 110 87 46 243 48 .1975
9. JCantu 441 150 90 55 295 58 .1966
10. MSweeney 365 118 68 39 225 44 .1956
11. CDelgado 424 147 87 55 289 56 .1938
12. AKennedy 307 82 49 24 155 30 .1935
13. EAlfonzo 302 86 63 32 181 35 .1934
14. CCrawford 516 135 86 48 269 52 .1933
15. DOrtiz 503 194 123 52 369 71 .1924
This season, Derek "Clutch" Jeter is currently #161.

2004 leader: Carlos Guillen (.2194); Top Sock: Ortiz at #4 (.2055)
2003 leader: Miguel Cabrera (.2183); Top Sock: Ortiz at #24 (.1828)
2002 leader: Larry Walker (.2335); Top Sock: Manny at #3 (.2120) and Nomar at #4 (.2043)
2001 leader: Juan Gonzlaez (.2323); Top Sox: Manny at #33 (.1834)

3 comments:

L-girl said...

Cool stat!

I always though RBIs should be expressed as a percentage. RBIs alone is such an over-rated statistic, since batters have no control over how many men are actually on base when they bat. You can't knock 'em in if they ain't there.

It's almost as stupid as ranking pitchers according to their W/L record. But not quite.

nick said...

what's the rationale of batting ortiz and manny 3 and 4 (respectively)? wouldn't manny's (comparitive) speed make him a better 3-hitter, not to mention putting the top rbi producer in the spot that sees more runners on base?

the only thing i can think of is the don't-walk-ortiz-because-manny's-right-behind idea, but i think that works equally well in reverse.

redsock said...

I think it is comfort, for one thing -- Ortiz likes hitting 3rd.

Actually, so does Manny, so I think Tito is going with the L-R-L-R at the top of the order. If Ortiz was hitting 4th, you might have Nixon as a second LH hitter after him, or Varitek (who does both).

And while I get more hung up on batting order than several stat studies say I should, I would think that over a season, the difference in runs produced (between Tiz-Manny and Manny-Tiz) would be minimal.