May 27, 2007

Lugo: 29 RBI While Hitting Only .231

In the comments to G48, 9casey wondered how Julio Lugo could:
have a .231 avg and still be able to have 29 rbi's. And out of the leadoff spot
I answered "more runners on base", noted how much better he does with runners on base:
                AVG   OBP   SLG
Bases Empty .217 .286 .313
Runners On .265 .307 .412
RISP .319 .333 .468
Bases Loaded .500 .566 .875
then went off to get some real answers.

Lugo has 29 RBI, 4th on the team behind Ortiz (38), Lowell (37) and Ramirez (30). Subtracting the times when the batter drives himself in (RBI - HR), the team leaders are: Ortiz (29), Lowell (28), Lugo (26) and Ramirez (23).

Lugo has driven in 21.49% of the runners on base when he bats. That makes him the top Sock in the 48 games played so far.

Mike Lowell (19.86%) and David Ortiz (19.33%) are next. ... Doug Mirabell (6.9%), Wily Mo Pena (7.9%) and JD Drew (9.3%) are at the bottom.

Let's look at the regular lineup and see the number of plate appearances, PA with runners on base, how many runners on each base the batter has seen and the total runners on all bases:
          PA PAROB  R1  R2  R3  ROB
Lugo 209 79 54 42 25 121
Youkilis 206 89 60 46 21 127
Ortiz 212 113 80 45 25 150
Ramirez 206 111 75 51 24 150
Drew 169 85 64 40 25 129
Lowell 191 91 68 45 28 141
Varitek 150 77 55 41 23 119
Crisp 176 87 65 35 17 117
Pedroia 123 53 37 22 12 71
My "more runners on base" comment was not all that accurate. Lugo is 6th out of the 9 regulars in men on base when he bats. Here are the percentage of times the batter knocked in the runners from each base:
         R1BI%  R2BI%  R3BI%   OBI%
Lugo 3.7% 23.8% 56.0% 21.49%
Youkilis 5.0% 17.4% 47.6% 16.54%
Ortiz 7.5% 22.2% 52.0% 19.33%
Ramirez 5.3% 13.7% 50.5% 15.33%
Drew 0.0% 17.5% 20.0% 9.30%
Lowell 5.9% 24.4% 46.4% 19.86%
Varitek 7.3% 7.3% 47.8% 15.13%
Crisp 3.1% 17.1% 47.8% 11.97%
Pedroia 2.7% 13.6% 33.3% 11.27%
When it comes to driving in a runner from third, Lugo is more successful than anyone else on the team. He's driven in 14 runners from third (Lowell and Ortiz have brought in 13, Manny has 12). Lugo is also second best at driving a runner in from second. ... Varitek is quite bad at bringing in a guy from second and Drew is dismal with a man on third (and first, for that matter).

The Top 5 AL hitters in OBI%:
Torii Hunter      23.62%
Ross Gload 23.08%
Magglio Ordonez 22.82%
Brad Wilkerson 22.58%
Placido Polanco 22.52%
Lugo is 8th. (Ordonez has driven in a whopping 66.7% of baserunners on third.)

Curious about the Yankees? (Arranged by OBI%)
          R1BI%  R2BI%  R3BI%   OBI%
Jeter 1.4% 32.4% 59.1% 20.00%
Posada 6.2% 14.3% 42.9% 16.30%
Damon 5.0% 20.7% 35.3% 16.28%
Matsui 4.9% 16.7% 50.0% 16.24%
Rodriguez 12.2% 16.0% 37.5% 16.03%
Cano 4.3% 10.2% 41.4% 13.51%
Re Jeter: His 59.1% is 5th in the AL and 9th in MLB; Orlando Hudson leads everybody with 70%. His 32.4% mark is 2nd best in the AL, behind Estaban Guzman of the Royals (33.3%). His very low % of driving in runners from first is due to his lack of power -- 52 of his 67 hits this year have been singles.

4 comments:

phrenile said...

If he's good at driving in runners and mediocre at getting on base himself, what business does he have being at the top of the order? Put him fifth instead of Drew.

(Yeah, it's working so we shouldn't change it, blah blah blah.)

redsock said...

Well, this is only what has happened, not what will happen.

I think my spring lineup had Lugo 7th or so. Pretty sure I had Yook and Drew at 1-2.

L-girl said...

Great post, thanks.

9casey said...

Jesus, you the man,

When my kids ask me where babies come from I am sending them to you...

Thank You ...

I found it very odd for someone with such a low HR total to have so many RBI's ..You obviously knew what I found odd......

Thanks again for the work on your end