Francona will likely pick Lopez over Corey. Tito loves his LOOGY, although Lopez, at least this year, has actually fared worse against lefties than righties. Corey pitched in nine games in September, allowing six hits, four walks and two runs in 9.1 innings.
Lester, in the first relief appearance of his young career, threw two perfect innings (20 pitches) on Sunday. If that was a test, he scored an A+. I think I'd take Lester over Lips.
I put Wakefield in as a fourth starter, but the eight-day series means he will pitch solely out of the pen. In two starts against the Angels this season -- April 13 (good) and August 7 (bad) -- Wakefield threw 11 innings, allowing 12 hits, five walks and eight runs (5.73 ERA). Los Angeles stole three bases again him in those 11 innings, which isn't excessive, but I still have nightmares about the Angels possibly running wild. (I wouldn't be bothered if they left Wakefield off the ALDS roster, but while they did that once before, I don't really see that happening this time.)
If the Sox take 10 pitchers, I'd drop Lopez/Corey and add Moss to the bench.
Rosters do not have to be finalized until 10 AM on Wednesday.