March 24, 2008

2008 W-L Contest Entries

I received 72 entries this year -- by far the biggest turnout in the five years of the contest!

Since a tie is likely, Manny Ramirez's OPS will be used as a tiebreaker. For example, if Boston wins 100 games and Manny has a .900 OPS
Mr. X    100-62    .902
Ms. Y 100-62 .898
both posters would be .002 away. I'll extend Manny's stats to extra decimals to determine the winner.

This year's prizes are: NESN's 2004 "Faith Rewarded" DVD and two soon-to-be released books: Jose Canseco's "Vindicated" (further 'roid ruminations) and "When Boston Still Had The Babe" (extensive biographies of the 32 players from the 1918 championship team).

PLUS ... a special grand prize! The winner is welcome to watch a 2009 Red Sox game* at Chez L-Sock. Game night includes dinner in our backyard, alcoholic beverages of your choice, and overnight accommodations. Transportation to the Toronto area not included. [*: Monday-Thursday only]

Good luck to everyone!
                             MBM OPS
redsock 104-58 .975

DKSB 103-59 .985
MattySox 103-59 .863

jackmarshall 102-60 1.048
Ray 102-60 1.002
L-girl 102-60 .990

Erik 101-61 1.057
Paul A. Anthony 101-61 .985
Leigh Balcom 101-61 .970
chUck 101-61 .940
Mike 101-61 .909

Bosox Fan in Wichita 100-62 1.055
Amy 100-62 1.000
Jeff Watjen 100-62 .987
Danie 100-62 .981
Omnipotent Q 100-62 .892

sparky 99-63 1.050
Gareth 99-63 1.002
jere 99-63 .999
Patriots Film 99-63 .990
johnc 99-63 .983
Benjamin 99-63 .976
james 99-63 .940
bennymac 99-63 .911

steeplechase3k 98-64 1.070
AHop 98-64 1.050
tim 98-64 1.024
Pokerwolf 98-64 1.016
Paul 98-64 .999
Redsauce 98-64 .964

9casey 97-65 1.062
snoneil 97-65 .998
Chris (DSF) 97-65 .981
Aaron 97-65 .965
the bottom line 97-65 .960
Mike Keefe 97-65 .941
Pepe Lepew 97-65 .931
Chris 97-65 .919
joe grav 97-65 .904
michael 97-65 .903
Mike Berry 97-65 .902

The Pita 96-66 1.037
Matt 96-66 1.014
Paul Hadzewycz 96-66 1.012
tist724 96-66 .994
ish 96-66 .986
Joel 96-66 .942
liitle jerry 96-66 .935
Woti-woti 96-66 .930
phrenile 96-66 .902

SoSock 95-67 1.062
Rob 95-67 1.038
MikeT9485 95-67 1.013
alclem 95-67 .999
Joel Freedman 95-67 .981
R. Da Silva 95-67 .968
Jack 95-67 .942
Shan-a-Funk 95-67 .941

Zenslinger 94-68 1.015
Devine 94-68 1.001
Ben 94-68 .940
Patrick 94-68 .870

heng brothers 93-69 .968
Fenway West 93-69 .952
charlie pioli 93-69 .890

Nick V 92-70 .950

Carl 91-71 .966
Conrey 91-71 .920
Brian 91-71 .899
dj1480 91-71 .890

s1c 90-72 1.013

Lord Lynch 89-73 .882

karin a 87-75 .951
I've also ranked the OPS predictions:
    Manny 2000        1.154
Manny 1999 1.105
Manny 2002 1.097

steeplechase3k 1.070
9casey 1.062
SoSock 1.062
Manny 2006 1.058
Erik 1.057
Bosox Fan in Wichita 1.055
AHop 1.050
sparky 1.050
jackmarshall 1.048
Rob 1.038
The Pita 1.037
tim 1.024
Pokerwolf 1.016
Zenslinger 1.015
Manny 2001 1.014
Manny 2003 1.014

Matt 1.014
MikeT9485 1.013
Paul Hadzewycz 1.012
Manny 2004 1.009
Manny Career 1.002

Gareth 1.002
Ray 1.002
Devine 1.001
Amy 1.000
jere .999
alclem .999
Paul .999
snoneil .998
tist724 .994
L-girl .990
Patriots Film .990
Jeff Watjen .987
ish .986
Paul A. Anthony .985
DKSB .985
johnc .983
Manny 2005 .982
Chris .981
Danie .981
Joel Freedman .981
Manny 1996 .981
Manny 1998 .976

Benjamin .976
redsock .975
Leigh Balcom .970
heng brothers .968
R. Da Silva .968
Carl .966
Aaron .965
Redsauce .964
the bottom line .960
Manny 1995 .960
Manny 1997 .953

Fenway West .952
karin a .951
Nick V .950
Jack .942
Joel .942
Mike Keefe .941
Shan-a-Funk .941
chUck .940
james .940
Ben .940
little jerry .935
Pepe Lepew .931
Woti-woti .930
Conrey .920
Chris (DSF) .919
bennymac .911
Mike .909
joe grav .904
michael .903
phrenile .902
Mike Berry .902
Brian .899
Omnipotent Q .892
charlie pioli .890
dj1480 .890
Lord Lynch .882
Manny 2007 .881
Patrick .870
MattySox .863
Even with his 2007 slump, Ramirez is one of only ten players in baseball history with a career OPS over 1.000:
Babe Ruth 1.1638
Ted Williams 1.1155
Lou Gehrig 1.0798
Barry Bonds 1.0512
Albert Pujols 1.0402
Jimmie Foxx 1.0376
Hank Greenberg 1.0169
Todd Helton 1.0138
Rogers Hornsby 1.0103
Manny Ramirez 1.0023
In adjusted career OPS, Manny is 25th all-time.

AL OPS: From 1999 to 2006, Manny finished 1st, 1st, 4th, 2nd, 2nd, 1st, 4th and 2nd.

13 comments:

redsock said...

michael 97-65 .903
joe grav 97-65 .903


Looks like we need a tiebreaker for the tiebreaker. So .... for these two guys:

How many bases will Ellsbury steal this year?

Patrick said...

87 wins seems like a pessimistic bet, but it's Price is right strategy. Bet a win below the lowest bidder and karin a has everything covered from 0-87 wins.

I guess in that sense, Redsock has 104+.

I hope you win Red sock. I'd buy you dinner.

redsock said...

karin a has everything covered from 0-87 wins

karin wins only if the sox finish with 87 wins.

if their win total ends up 0-86, 88 or 104-162, no one wins.

we're covered for 87 and 89-103. someone *should* win.

redsock said...

i was going to have Price is Right for the OPS, but it didn't make sense.

if manny has a 1.000, then a .990 would beat a 1.001. so i junked that idea.

i picked 104 because with all the optimism i insist upon, i have to set a good example. :>)

okay -- gotta go set the alarm for 5 AM and hit the sack!

tim said...

OOoooooooooooooooooooooooo man i can feel it in the air - 8 hours til the title defense begins! ive said it a kajillion times, but lookin forward to a great season @ j0s again!

probably won't be around in the AM...bah who am i kidding, of course i will be! once i get a couple cups of coffee and some foodstuffs in me....this is going to be great!

time for beauty sleep now though...

L-girl said...

I hope you win Red sock. I'd buy you dinner.

Me too! And I'll buy you dinner, too.

sparky said...

If there's still time:

99-63

OPS 1.05

Jeff

brewin' fool said...

(delurking, didn't enter the contest)

redsock, do you have an easy way to average out everyone's predictions for the win/loss and MannyOPS? Along the lines of tangotiger's community projections, it would be interesting to see what the consensus is.

enjoy the game! Out here on the west coast, I don't think I'll be able to catch it.

(back to lurking)

redsock said...

sparky's in since the season had not started when he posted.
also i forgot one pick (leigh at 101), so there are now 72 entries.

joe grav upped his OPS by .001 so no need for the SB pick.

redsock said...

brewin': you could add them up and divide by 72.

nick said...

Who's the putz who didn't enter the contest?

Oh, right. me.

brewin' fool said...

Just because I got around to checking back on this- The average prediction has the Red Sox record at 96.8-67.2 (73 entries)

Didn't take the time to figure out Manny's average predicted OPS, because I wasn't able to paste the data into a spreadsheet in a usable form. Alas.

brewin' fool said...

aw, screw it. what's a little transcription, anyway.

the average for Manny's OPS is 0.971.

prediction averages are 97-65, 0.971

cheers.