October 1, 2008

ALDS 1: Red Sox 4, Angels 1

Red Sox - 000 002 002 - 4  8  1
Angels - 001 000 000 - 1 9 1
Jason Bay crushed a high fastball from John Lackey to deep left with two outs in the sixth, giving the Red Sox a 2-1 lead. RBI singles from Jacoby Ellsbury and David Ortiz provided some ninth-inning insurance.

Lester started off on the wrong foot, allowing two hits and a walk in the first inning. He left the bases loaded and although he allowed an unearned run in the third, he also stranding two more baserunners. After Torii Hunter's single gave LA a 1-0 lead, Lester retired 13 of his next 15 batters, including striking out the side in the sixth. Only one of his 21 outs was hit beyond the infield.

Justin Masterson allowed a couple of singles in the eighth, but a bone-headed baserunning play from Vladimir Guerrero cut a potential rally short. Vlad, who can barely jog, tried to go from first to third on a pop single to short right and Kevin Youkilis gunned him down by -- seriously -- 35 feet.

Jonathan Papelbon took care of the Angels in the ninth -- as many of the "fans" had packed up their noisemakers du jour and gone home.

Ellsbury had three hits and a stolen base; he also reached on a three-base error by right fielder Gary Matthews. And he made a diving catch on a sinking liner for the first out in the LAA eighth. ... Pedroia walked twice, Yook singled and walked, Bay doubled and donged, and Lowrie singled and scored.

In the NL: the Phillies beat the Brewers 3-1 and the Dodgers beat the Cubs 7-2.

***

Jon Lester (3.21, 143 ERA+) / John Lackey (3.75, 116 ERA+)

Results of the ALDS Poll:

Corrected Lineups:
Red Sox                Angels
Jacoby Ellsbury, CF Chone Figgins, 3B
Dustin Pedroia, 2B Garret Anderson, LF
David Ortiz, DH Mark Teixeira, 1B
Kevin Youkilis, 1B Vladimir Guerrero, DH
J.D. Drew, RF Torii Hunter, CF
Jason Bay, LF Howie Kendrick, 2B
Mike Lowell, 3B Mike Napoli, C
Jed Lowrie, SS Gary Matthews Jr., RF
Jason Varitek, C Erick Aybar, SS

IP H BB K WHIP AVG OBP SLG

Lester 210.1 202 66 152 1.274 .256 .320 .368
Lackey 163.1 161 40 130 1.231 .260 .315 .435
Lester finished 4th in the AL in ERA.
          W-L    RS   RA   DIF  EXPWL  OPS+ ERA+
Red Sox 95-67 845 694 +151 95-67 108 114
Angels 100-62 765 697 + 68 88-74 96 109

AVG OBP SLG RS/G RA/G ERA
Red Sox .280 .358 .447 5.22 4.28 4.01
Angels .268 .330 .413 4.72 4.30 4.00
So we hit better, get on base more often, have more power, score more runs, and allow fewer runs. ... Tell me again: Why the Angels are favoured in this series?

Is it their closer? Which of these three closers do you like?
    IP    H  BB   K   ERA  OBP  SLG  WHIP IR/S
A 68.2 54 34 77 2.24 .314 .316 1.288 18/7
B 69.1 58 8 77 2.34 .245 .315 0.952 30/4
C 67.1 39 19 66 1.60 .248 .255 0.861 6/2
Closer A has walked a ton of batters and his ability at preventing inherited runners from scoring is putrid. At least one writer gives huge weight to a worthless stat and thinks A is the AL MVP. ... I'm assuming you know who A & B are (think Angels and Boston). Any writers considering Frod for MVP should probably slot Joakim Soria (C) even further up on the ballot.

***

Lackey's last outing? 2.2 IP, 12 hits, 10 runs! In four September starts, batters pounded him to the tune of a 1.042 OPS (.356/.420/.622). Since July 5, he has a 5.42 ERA in 94.2 innings. ... He did well in his two starts against Boston, though: July 18 (7-5-3-2-6) and July 29 (9-2-2-2-4).

Before the issue of Josh Beckett's oblique forced a shuffling of the rotation, there was talk that Lester should pitch Game 3 at Fenway because of his poor road record this year. That will not happen, though Lester would be pitching Game 4 in Boston, if necessary.

Lester's splits from this season:
      GS   ERA   IP    H   BB   K  AVG  OBP  SLG
Home 17 2.49 115.2 103 35 86 .240 .303 .361
Road 16 4.09 94.2 99 31 66 .275 .341 .375
I think the home/road ERA split is exaggerated -- and, ultimately, should not cause anyone to worry. (For those who care, his home/road records were 11-1 and 5-5.)

First, let's note that in both 2006 and 2007, Lester did not have much of a split.
2007   IP     ERA    OPS
Home 23 4.30 .775
Road 40 4.72 .740

2006 IP ERA OPS
Home 49.1 4.74 .807
Road 32 4.78 .825
So why the bigger split in 2008? Well, two of Lester's worst starts of the year came on the road. He allowed six runs in five innings in Houston on June 28 and gave up seven runs in 2.1 innings in Toronto on August 23. If you toss out those bad days, his road ERA drops a full run -- from 4.09 to 3.09.

Of course, those starts did happen, but when you are working with a small sample size, a crappy outing or two -- for whatever reason -- can have a larger than deserved effect. Also, there is a touch of poor luck with his road BABIP (batting average on balls in play) -- a somewhat high .321.

Lester saw Los Angeles once this year -- April 23 at Fenway. 5-9-4-2-1, 80. The Angels won 6-4. Lester has pitched in Anaheim twice (once each in 2006 and 2007), allowing 14 hits, seven walks and eight runs in 8.1 innings.

According to the Globe, Beckett threw lightly on Tuesday: "30 throws from 60 feet, moved back to 90 feet and made 20 throws, then moved back to 60". Francona: "Everything was very encouraging. Everything was real positive." ... Plenty of additional links in Art Marrone's column.

BP's Joe Sheehan agrees with me: Red Sox in 4 (though he adds: "There is no result — a sweep, a five-game series, either team winning — that would come as a surprise.).

Finally: The Boston media is misrepresenting Manny Ramirez's latest comments about his time in Boston. The Herald's Gerry Callahan writes that Manny's "problem with Boston [was] us. You and me. Fans and media." Actually, what Manny said was this:
The fans in Boston got your back no matter what, but I'm talking about the people who write all this bull because it means so much to them.
So: the fans are great and the writers are dicks. And that's the reason for the media's negative spin.

Remember: SHOTS = VICTORY! We're 7-for-7!

***

Other games today:
NLDS 1: Brewers at Phillies at 3
NLDS 1: Dodgers at Cubs at 6

1,020 comments:

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ish said...

The big question... Will Don Orsillo be calling this series? Or will it be Chip Caray?

Jere said...

George Carlin was right. The big hand takes much longer climbing up the left side of the clock than descending down the right side.

Jere said...

They wouldn't have Orsillo do his home team.

redsock said...

DO not doing Sox. 99.9% sure of that.

ish said...

Can you believe Greg Maddux is pitching out of the bullpen for the Dodgers?

Jere said...

"While Chip Carey and Buck Martinez will do Red Sox-Angels and Dick Stockton, Ron Darling and Tony Gwynn will do Dodgers-Cubs, the Rays will get Don Orsillo on play-by-play with Harold Reynolds handling the analysis."

ish said...

They wouldn't have Orsillo do his home team.

Brian Anderson did the Brewers/Phillies game. He's the Brewers TV pbp guy.

ish said...

"While Chip Carey and Buck Martinez will do Red Sox-Angels and Dick Stockton, Ron Darling and Tony Gwynn will do Dodgers-Cubs, the Rays will get Don Orsillo on play-by-play with Harold Reynolds handling the analysis."

Heh. How'd I miss that?

Funny that Don is doing the Rays.

ish said...

Chip Caray and Buck Martinez... Makes me glad I have a radio!

ish said...

If I didn't see Brian Anderson covering his own team I'd have assumed DO wouldn't have been doing the Red Sox.

Jere said...

"Brian Anderson did the Brewers/Phillies game. He's the Brewers TV pbp guy."

That obviously surprises me.

ish said...

Castig: "Alex Cora, we'll see you again on Friday for Cora's Corner, back by popular demand!"

Cora: "Hell yeah!"

ish said...

Let me check for sure on Anderson. But I was reading a Brewers game thread and they were talking about him as their pbp guy, and how it must be hard for him to remain neutral.

Jere said...

They should call it the Cora-ner.

Oh wait, that sounds like coroner. Cora-ner's report, then!

redsock said...

buck martinez --- ugh. deafness has its advantages.

ish said...

Dodgers win Game 1!

An upset! Close game wouldn't have been so surprising, but 7-2 - wow.

L-girl said...

Hi! I just came from a GREAT meeting and the election debates are on TV here and playoffs are starting and I AM SO PSYCHED!!!

:)

ish said...

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA.

Brian Anderson, 35, was named Brewers play-by-play announcer on January 10, 2007. He will be entering his first season as a Major League play-by-play announcer.

Anderson comes to the Brewers from the Golf Channel, where he worked as a play-by-play announcer since 2003. In his role there, he served as a host for a variety of the network's events, including the PGA and Nationwide Tours. Anderson also worked at FSN Southwest as a sideline reporter for the San Antonio Spurs since 1999, where he saw the Spurs win three NBA Championships.

Jere said...

D-Lowe gets a win, Manny hits a dong. Sounds like October.

(I could add "Cubs don't win" but, I won't. That's mean.)

redsock said...

And our JD shots are ready -- at 10:00:01, we drink!

ish said...

That's kinda like how on FOX a couple weeks ago they had a NASCAR announcer do a Rays game.

L-girl said...

Fundraising up to 1740. We raised 1500 today (so far)!

nixon33 said...

HERE WE FUCKING GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

andy said...

Drew was hidden away to come out and surprise the hell out of everybody. its game time bitches

andy said...

I am so fucking hard right now.

ish said...

A younger Castig reporting for WJW in Cleveland. Very cool.

Jere said...

TBS--either rename studio J "studio A," or just don't mention it at all. Nothing against the great letter J, but it kinda makes it feel like they have 9 better studios and the baseball people are relegated to the 10th best.

redsock said...

ummmmmmmm, thanks, andy....

ish said...

Frank probably has Studio A.

Seinfield probably has Studio I

ish said...

Bon Jovi? Studio B.

ish said...

I love hearing TWO world series ending calls by Castig leading into the first game of the 2008 playoffs!

Jere said...

"that is a big chaw."

Thanks, nix!

nixon33 said...

ISH, did i tell you that Duke Castig (son of joe) is the sports gut for FOX 5 here in NY?

ish said...

I used to see Duke on Channel 7 up here once in awhile.

Jere said...

Again, I mix up the two three-letter commenters. Meant to thank ish for the Castig clip.

But thanks nix for just being you.

redsock said...

SHOTS = VICTORY!!!!!!!!!!!!

nixon33 said...

thanx for what, jere?

ish said...

"Terry Francona isn't going to make any sentimental moves."

Fucking right!

Jere said...

Yeah, and Duke had been at WCBS 2 for a while there. Was always weird hearing him covering the Yanks.

nixon33 said...

ha, ok thats settled than jere.
ha

Amy said...

Game time!

redsock said...

The Assassin knows no sentiment.

ish said...

Notice on the microphones... Neither of them are holding the microphone with TBS pointing to the camera... just the MLB logo. Bud silently telling everyone who's in charge, bitches.

Amy said...

Nix, Duke used to be on the local station here in Springfield. Of course, no one stays out here in the boonies.

Jere said...

Then again, it's probably still weird for Joe Castig's lifelong family friends to hear him calling Sox, as he was a Yankee fan as a kid.

ish said...

I mean, it could be coincidence, but I refuse to believe it.

Jere said...

As a non-alcohol-guy, I will take a "shot," along with 11.5 more fluid ounces, of Cherry Coke from a can.

tim said...

w00t found a stream of the sox radio broadcast on one of the local carriers from worcester

now to see if it cuts out on the first pitch...

Amy said...

Not sure how late I can thread tonight. I have to get to work early after being out the last two days.

Amy said...

I hate west coast night games... :(

Jere said...

gotsta take the crowd out early. FIrst inning!

s1c said...

It is ONNNNNNNNNNNNN!!!!!!!!!!

Got to go find my happy feet dance just to get ready!!!

Lackey faced the Sox in game 1 last year. Gave up 4 runs in 6 innings. Would like to see a repeat in game 1 this year.

ish said...

I ate a ceremonial slice of pizza. To commemorate the guy who threw that piece of pizza that one time at Fenway Park.

redsock said...

our shots finished off our 2007 bottle. we had to ratio it out just in case.

nixon33 said...

TITO THE ASSASSIN OF THE ANGELCUNTS!

tim said...

And there it goes. This fucking terrible song came on to the tune of "America: Fuck Yeah!" and went "Rusty...heck yeah!" - worst. shit. ever.

lets do this!

Jere said...

With a beard and short hair, Lackey's looking less like Peter Brady circa '74. Boo.

ish said...

LAURA'S BOY STARTS IT OFF RIGHT!

s1c said...

LBJ!!!

L-girl said...

Whose boy is that?????

redsock said...

playable

my fucking ass!!!!!!!!!!!

nixon33 said...

YEAH!!!!! LBJ!!!!!! BLOG THAT FUCKERS!!!!!!

tim said...

good start! Fucking caray sucks

Jere said...

great call, idiot. "playable"? come fuckin on.

Anyway, woohoo!!!!!

Amy said...

LBJ! Didn't the anncr say it was playable??

ish said...

LMAO nix

Sarah Gates said...

Why? Why must I be in the middle of act two right now!?

ish said...

WEEI really needs to fix their sound effects mic. You can barely hear Castig.

Amy said...

OK, guess it wasn't my hearing---he did say playable.

Amy said...

Hi, Sarah!

Jere said...

don't get cute, Dustin, just swing for the fences! okay, I'm getting a little something

Amy said...

Come on---don't waste a leadoff double.

ish said...

Come on, Youk. Get that run home.

s1c said...

Did you guys catch the Torre answer earlier today when he was asked about the curse for the cubs?

EJJ said...

poor job advancing the runner.

nick said...

holy gadzooks! 260+ already! Just got home from work and went straight to the radio station. It's GDGD for me.

I hope you all are mad enthusiastic and shotdrunk.

efd said...

holy moly, 260+ comments and the game's just starting! I need to catch up.

I took about a 90-minute nap when I got home tonight, since I only got 4 hours of sleep last night. I hope it works!

And I see we have TBS's "A" announcing team. :P

ish said...

Goodness! Someone sprayed Miracle Grow on Youk's face!

ish said...

The miracle grow couldn't get Youk to get LBJ home, though.

nixon33 said...

LOB #1
fuck.

OK Lester, its yours.

s1c said...

Frag, wasted.

Amy said...

ARGGHH

Jere said...

yes the Torre answer was awesome.

I am ready to kill. Should be 1-0 at least.

ish said...

holy moly, 260+ comments and the game's just starting! I need to catch up.

The commenting started around 3:00 with the first game today. Picked up a little bit during the Dodgers/Cubs game

Amy said...

S1C, what did Torre say about the curse and the Cubs?

ish said...

Did you guys catch the Torre answer earlier today when he was asked about the curse for the cubs?

Frack. I missed it.

tim said...

Caray fuckin sucks...thinkin about ponying up the $15 for MLB Radio

redsock said...

Torre knows he was totally pwned. Might as well admit it.

ish said...

Oh yay. We get to see Scott Boras' ugly mug all night.

efd said...

Torre:
"Cursed?" Torre said with a smile. "I don't believe that stuff. You're dealing with a former Yankee manger who had a 3-0 lead against the Boston Red Sox, who went on to win the World Series. Sorry. Wrong stop."

Amy said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
s1c said...

Amy - basically he laughed and then said, "hey you are talking about the guy who lost a series with a 3-0 lead, I don't believe in curses"

ish said...

Hahahaha. I feel worse now that I missed that. Torre's awesome.

andy said...

fuck.

redsock said...

amy = jinx

ish said...

Hey, Mrs. Garrett, where's your pink eye?

Amy said...

Thanks, EFD!

I love it. Torre is a classy guy.

Oh, there goes the no hitter.

nick said...

holy gadzooks! 260+ already!

holy moly, 260+ comments and the game's just starting!


Love it. posted at the exact same time.

You owe me a coke or I owe you one or something...hell, jere, have a sip of yr own beverage on us.

andy said...

There goes the no-hitter and the perfect game

andy said...

Where were you there fuck yeah man

Sarah Gates said...

Hi Amy! I've missed you guys - I love actually being on the run of a show, but it kills my baseball watching... Fortunately, we close on Sunday. (Or unfortunately from the standpoint of my continued employment, but let's just think of baseball...)

Jere said...

amy, un-tell us how many outs are left, please

ish said...

But come on... Lester's throwing 96 mph. Not too concerned about that hit.

andy said...

If amy is the jinx consider me jinxed

andy said...

I hate this batter

ish said...

Maybe if Amy un-tells us how many outs there are, Mrs. Garrett will get an un-hit.

Or Lester can get a routine DP ball and we'll be fine.

Amy said...

Sorry. Don't worry. It'll will be fine.

Ask Andy.

ish said...

Oi. Okay everyone stop talking. Haha.

Jere said...

sure, now Caray's Mr. I'll wait to see what happennnnns

redsock said...

dp pls - from the hacker

andy said...

i hate the angels

nick said...

I'd be downright pleased if the LAAAAssholes would just cut this whole hitting thing out. Let us get down to the business of winning.

efd said...

blecch.

TBS announcers are acting like it's already 5-0 Angels.

Amy said...

OK, I unsaid it. Comment deleted, and we get an out.

Sarah, what's the show?

ish said...

Vlad's gonna help you more than he's gonna hurt you.

andy said...

Drew looks good out there

nixon33 said...

VLAD-ROD!

andy said...

Do you know what depraved acts i would engage in with drew?

Jere said...

way to get the pop up. Solid.

The Angels have at least two musicians: Grandmaster Flash as Chone Figgins, and Anthony Keidis as Mark Teixeira.

ish said...

I think they are talking about Lester's nerves...

Er... Who started Game 4 of the World Series last year?

efd said...

Vlad-Rod, nice!

andy said...

This guy is bad for baseball

s1c said...

TBS announcers are acting like it's already 5-0 Angels

They are also clueless, Wakefield was not on the roster for the WS last year. Lester knew he would be starting game 4 for days.

andy said...

Mickey Hatcher sucks too

redsock said...

TBS going on and on and on and on about the LAAAAAAAA offense.

They were below average in the AL - 96 OPS+.

Jere said...

they mentioned Game 4 of the WS, but said since he didn't know he'd start until the game was coming up, since Wake was scratched, it's...different, I guess.

ish said...

He's not missing by much, that's for sure. But he's still missing.

andy said...

Pull him playoff tito

nick said...

Do you know what depraved acts i would engage in with drew?

Oh, do tell, andy.

ish said...

15 pitches... that's not bad for the first inning. Dispose of Hunter quickly and you're golden.

redsock said...

TIMBERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!

love these hackers

andy said...

remind me about the wake scratch. wasnt he out the entire playoffs?

Amy said...

Shit.

nick said...

got some kickin' Darondo right now. Legs. yeah! party!

Jere said...

catch the ball Tek, that's a strike

andy said...

Oh nice. I am loving this 1st inning.

Amy said...

Breathe.

andy said...

Wow that was Dice K like

Jere said...

0 runs for you

redsock said...

HOUDINI!

ish said...

So that's what... 18, 19 pitches? No runs allowed...

Move on.


PHEW.

s1c said...

Escape, time for JD to get things going.

efd said...

aaahhhh.

L-girl said...

squander!! got out of that and we're all set now.

nixon33 said...

YES!!!!!!!!!!
UGH MY HEART IS POUNDING!

NOW LETS GET SOME RUNS!

andy said...

Jackie D is fucking my soul right now.

Sarah Gates said...

This show. It's about the afrobeat musician Fela Kuti. Big dance musical. Fun stuff.

Jere said...

Just think, if we were them, we'd be REALLY pissed.

Now, ten runs, please.

andy said...

Too bad drew cant give us that playoff grand slam right here.
what if he runs around 4 times?

andy said...

Lackey is funny looking.

andy said...

good wood drew.

Amy said...

Sounds great, Sarah (after a quick skim through the review). Looks like the original run was extended by ten days?

Let's get some runs!

Jere said...

Hey, John Sterling and John Lackey are both Johns and both lackeys.

andy said...

if figgins were here right now i would punch him

ish said...

Lackey is funny looking.

One of the Certified Purveyors of The Face.

andy said...

So Bay cannot put up manny numbers? why not? oh thats why

ish said...

Bay's been hacking a lot lately.

andy said...

so how did lowell tear his labia?

nick said...

oh, very cool, amy. I really dig Fela's music. Had the pleasure of seeing him at UMass when I was in high school. Antibalas ain't so shabby themselves. I wouldn't mind seeing that show at all.

Amy said...

Oh, he was robbed!

ish said...

Look at Lowell's face. He knows, especially with that liner, that Lackey may be good now, but not later.

nixon33 said...

fuck! good contact by lowell though.
LESTER, SETTLE IT DOWN. GET IN RHYTHM!

nick said...

whoops! I know that sarah and amy aren't the same person at all, but I imagine amy would like it too.

ish said...

The Face will return.

Jere said...

"so how did lowell tear his labia?"

hit an opposite field dong

Amy said...

LOL, Nick, I am sure you are right.

andy said...

Lackey looks like a guy i grew up with who was a douche.

ish said...

Meanwhile, if you want to pretend... turn on NESN. They're showing the Best of 2008... This particular game is against the Angels at Fenway earlier in the season.

L-girl said...

"so how did lowell tear his labia?"

hit an opposite field dong


LOL

andy said...

Nick is trying to put amy and sarah in the same place. his bed.

Sarah Gates said...

Yeah, Amy, we're at the the end of the extension now. We were supposed to close the 21st of Sept., but I'm not complaining about the extra two weeks work, Except for the part where I'm not home watching this game... And Friday's!

Sarah Gates said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
ish said...

Speaking of The Face... Jered Weaver pitched that game.

andy said...

Nice tag team on that labia joke. hello laura.

L-girl said...

Fela is great. The show must be great fun.

andy said...

Napoli fisted one back to the screen. so much sex in baseball

ish said...

Charley Steiner adds a bit more to the weirdness and different levels of nostalgia of the Dodgers, broadcasting their games on the radio.

"That ball is back, a way back, awaaaayy back!"

L-girl said...

hi andy :)

andy said...

COOOOOOOOORRRRRVVVVEEEE bal

andy said...

Nice jacket idiot.

ish said...

HAHAHA Craig Sager.

Kevin Garnett made fun of his clothes at some point. Called him retro.

andy said...

I will fuck this guy in the lymph nodes. the idiot in the red jacket.

L-girl said...

Napoli fisted one back to the screen. so much sex in baseball

I thought the same thing.

I hate Charlie Steiner.

Jere said...

Do you ever think about how if this was a game between two other random teams, you'd be all calm, maybe even change the channel, or go out for two hours and not think about it and then come back--yet because it's our team, every pitch is crucial and you feel like you start dying if the other team starts getting runs, etc, etc?

redsock said...

looks like he robbed jim mckay's corpse.

andy said...

I wish Tek nailed matthews in the back of the head.

andy said...

Mckay hahahahaha.

ish said...

Do you ever think about how if this was a game between two other random teams, you'd be all calm, maybe even change the channel, or go out for two hours and not think about it and then come back--yet because it's our team, every pitch is crucial and you feel like you start dying if the other team starts getting runs, etc, etc?

How did you feel watching the Cubs game tonight? Then talk to a Cubs fan. Same deal.

Amy said...

Yes, Jere, quite a different intensity compared to the Dodger/Cubs game, even though I wanted the Cubs to win.

andy said...

Looks like a 1st grader swinging there

efd said...

Andy's favorite player, Erick Gaybar, at bat.

ish said...

Also part of it is I've watched 18 innings of baseball to bridge the gap from no baseball at all to Red Sox baseball. I'm a little bit amped up.

Amy said...

1-2-3

Jere said...

Nye Sinning

andy said...

The aybar's are scary looking people.

Jere said...

No, wait, Nigh Sinning!

ish said...

That Cubs game was depressing. It looked more like they were playing in the beginning of the season. Not much of a playoff atmosphere there.

ish said...

But they were so nervous, with good reason. What else can go wrong.

nixon33 said...

GOOD INNING LESTER!!!

ish said...

Does it feel to everyone else that this game is scoreless? Does it feel like the Sox are behind? Ahead?

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