September 16, 2009

2009 W-L Contest Update

Here is a look at the 2009 W-L contest entries.

Boston could finish the year with anywhere from 85 to 104 wins, and all 55 entries fell between those totals. However, re the first tiebreaker, Jacoby Ellsbury has stolen 61 bases so far, so everyone but the closest guess below that number can be eliminated.

In four cases, we may have to go to the 2nd tiebreaker, which will be Varitek's OBP (currently at .319). I think that in something like the 98-wins spot, that if Tek's OBP stays about where it is, I'll have to toss out The Price Is Right rules and go with the closest of the two guesses that went over.

Right now, we are left with 15 entries (with how the Red Sox need to play over the final 19 games to hit the various win totals):
                  W-L    SB     OBP   Sox Finish

Jon B West 103-59 38 .344 18- 1

Jere 100-62 55 .349 15- 4

Edward Nunez 99-63 69 .329 14- 5
Justin Meddaugh 99-63 58 .255

Brad Riccillo 98-64 54 .334 13- 6
Pokerwolf 98-64 54 .332

Sean McAteer 97-65 60 .300 12- 7

phlipster 96-66 63 .327 11- 8
matttymatty 96-66 63 .316

Aaron Liber 95-67 54 .349 10- 9

Bradley Smith 94-68 56 .352 9-10

Sam Warren 93-69 42 .325 8-11
Joe Grav 93-69 42 .299

Jeff Raymond 92-70 45 .360 7-12

Jeff in PA 91-71 45 .313 6-13
Prize: Six classic Pedro performances on DVD, including September 10, 1999 (9-1-0-0-17 at Yankees) and August 29, 2000 (9-1-0-0-13 at Tampa Bay).

7 comments:

tim said...

Go Jon B West!

PartingVisions said...

I'm nitpicking, but since its Price is Right rules I (justin meddaugh) should still be on the board for 99 wins.

redsock said...

oop. you are right. fixed it.

Jeff in PA said...

Wow, did I really only guess they'd win 91 games? Maybe I thought the AL East would play stronger than they have over the last month or so. Anyway, I hope I'm very wrong and they win a lot!

Aaron said...

Wow, still in the running. Awesome.

Aaron said...

Red Sox are currently 91-66 (157 games) with 5 left to play. I think this is the group that's left, based on a 5-0 record to a 0-5 record)

phlipster 96-66 63 .327 11- 8
matttymatty 96-66 63 .316

Aaron Liber 95-67 54 .349 10- 9

Bradley Smith 94-68 56 .352 9-10

Sam Warren 93-69 42 .325 8-11
Joe Grav 93-69 42 .299

Jeff Raymond 92-70 45 .360 7-12

Jeff in PA 91-71 45 .313 6-13

redsock said...

Yep, that's what I have.